NHC – In the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico, the National Hurricane Center is closely monitoring two active systems: Tropical Storm Gert in the central subtropical Atlantic and Tropical Storm Katia in the eastern subtropical Atlantic.
1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95): A tropical wave, positioned southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, is generating extensive shower and thunderstorm activity.
Over the past day, this system has displayed improved organization, with favorable environmental conditions expected to promote further development throughout the week.
There’s a medium chance, 40 percent, of it becoming a tropical depression within the next 48 hours.
Over the next seven days, the likelihood of formation increases to 80 percent as the system tracks westward to west-northwestward at speeds of 15 to 20 mph across the central and western tropical Atlantic.
2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave currently situated over western Africa is projected to move offshore in the coming days.
While it ventures west-northwestward at approximately 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic, conditions may support gradual development starting midweek.
The odds of formation within the next 48 hours are low, near 0 percent, but rise to 20 percent within the next seven days.
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