Tropical Disturbance_AL98 is now likely to become a #TropicalDepression or #TropicalStorm before passing the area.
Tropical Storm Watches are likely for portions of the northeast Caribbean today, including #Antigua and #Barbuda & the rest of the Leeward Islands & the BVI.
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Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show some signs of organization in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the system approaches and then moves near or over the Leeward Islands.
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Interests on these islands should continue to monitor the progress of this system, and watches or warnings could be required for portions of the area as soon as later today.
The system could approach portions of the Greater
Antilles by the middle of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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USAF Hurricane Hunters left Biloxi, Mississippi earlier this morning and are flying to St. Croix. They will be investigating this tropical disturbance a little later. It may become “Ernesto” before or after it leaves our area.
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