Tropical Storm Watch Likely To Be Dropped This Morning

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Forecaster Dale Destin says the watch issued for Tropical Depression 13 will likely be dropped for most of the Leeward Islands this morning.

The system remains a depression as it continues to approach the Nothern Leeward Islands.

However, according to Destin there was some good news overnight since there was still no increase in wind speeds, as it gets closer. If the trend continues, we may be able to drop the watches, as they may no longer be justified, he said.

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION

———————————————-

LOCATION…17.8N 58.5W

ABOUT 305 MI…490 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 21 MPH…33 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1008 MB…29.77 INCHES

 

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

——————–

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

 

The Government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for

the southeastern Bahamas, including the Acklins, Crooked Island,

Long Cay, the Inaguas, Mayaguana, and the Ragged Islands, as well as

for the Turks and Caicos Islands.

 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

 

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…

* The southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands

* Puerto Rico, Vieques and Culebra

* U.S. Virgin Islands

* British Virgin Islands

* Saba and St. Eustatius

* St. Maarten

* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy

* Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla

 

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are

possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

 

Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin

Islands, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor

the progress of this system, as additional tropical storm watches

or warnings will be required for portions of those areas later

today.  Interests in Cuba and the remainder of the Bahamas should

also monitor the progress of this system.

 

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,

including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor

products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast

office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the

United States, please monitor products issued by your national

meteorological service.

 

 

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

———————-

At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Thirteen

was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 58.5 West. The

depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph

(33 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next few

days. On the forecast track, the depression is expected to move near

or north of the northern Leeward Islands later today, near or north

of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Saturday, and near or north

of Hispaniola Saturday night.

 

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher

gusts.  Gradual strengthening is forecast, and the depression is

likely to become a tropical storm by the weekend.

 

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

 

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

———————-

RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches over

Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands through Sunday.  Locally heavy

rainfall could lead to flash and urban flooding, as well as an

increased potential for mudslides. Some rivers may overflow their

banks.

 

1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches is

expected over the northern Leeward Islands, the Dominican Republic,

Haiti, the Turks and Caicos and southeast Bahamas.

 

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch

area later today through Saturday night.

 

 

NEXT ADVISORY

————-

Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.

Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

 

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