Teddy to steer clear of the Caribbean – Met Office

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.TEDDY TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY WEDNESDAY…EXPECTED TO STEER CLEAR OF THE ISLANDS…

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES IS CLOSELY FOLLOWING THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM TEDDY, WHICH HAS RESUMED A WELCOME WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION.

ALL THE MODELS SURVEYED, EXCEPT FOR A FEW, CONTINUE TO FORECAST THE CENTRE OF TEDDY TO PASS WELL AWAY FROM THE CARIBBEAN. HENCE, BASED ON THE REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO, THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO POSE LITTLE TO NO WIND THREAT TO ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA, THE REST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

AT 11 AM LST OR 1500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM TEDDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 47.0 WEST OR ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS, MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT AROUND 13 MPH. A STEADY NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, AND TEDDY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY WEDNESDAY AND A MAJOR HURRICANE BY THURSDAY, WHILE HEADING AWAY FROM THE AREA.

OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, THERE HAS BEEN A SLIGHT SHIFT OF THE TRACK, OF THE STORM, AWAY FROM THE ISLANDS, UNLIKE THE PREVIOUS 24 HOURS. THIS INCREASES THE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST THAT THE SYSTEM WILL PASS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES AWAY FROM THE REGION, ON THURSDAY OR FRIDAY. NOTWITHSTANDING, ANY RETURN TO A WESTERLY MOTION WOULD BE CAUSE FOR CONCERN AND COULD TRIGGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT.

THERE REMAIN NO TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT AND NONE MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS CYCLONE. HOWEVER, MARINE ALERTS FOR HIGH SURFS WILL LIKELY BECOME NECESSARY LATER THIS WEEK.

RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR TEDDY CLOSELY AND STAY PREPARED.

AN UPDATE WILL BE GIVEN BY AROUND 11 AM TOMORROW OR SOONER, IF REQUIRED.

FORECASTER DALE DESTIN

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