Heavy Rains From the Depression Expected Over the Northern Leeward Islands On Friday


Tropical Depression #Thirteen Advisory 5:

Heavy Rains From the Depression Expected Over the Northern Leeward Islands On Friday.

At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Thirteen was located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 56.4 West.
The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 22 mph (35
km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next few 
days. On the forecast track, the depression is expected to move 
near or north of the northern Leeward Islands by late Friday, near 
or north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Saturday, and
near or north of Hispaniola Saturday night.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher 
gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast, and the depression is
likely to become a tropical storm by the weekend.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on NOAA Hurricane
Hunter data is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of 
rainfall over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands through Sunday.  
Heavy rainfall associated with the depression may cause mudslides 
on sensitive slopes and flash and urban flooding through Sunday. 
Over the northern Leeward Islands, the Dominican Republic, and 
Haiti, 1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 5 
inches are expected.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area late Friday and Saturday.

Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.