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Disturbance 2: 40% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 Days
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As of 2:00 PM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025…
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
Satellite-derived surface wind data from earlier today revealed that a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands lacks a closed surface circulation.

Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development over the next day or so while the system moves west-southwestward at around 15 mph and a short-lived tropical depression could form.
By the end of the week, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent.
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