The government of Antigua and Barbuda has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Barbuda and Anguilla, as well as the Tropical Storm Watch for Antigua, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
- St. Barthelemy and St. Martin
- Sint Maarten
- Guadeloupe and the adjacent islands
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
- Saba and St. Eustatius
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next several hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next several hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 5:00 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 62.5 West. Jerry is moving toward the northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected tonight into Saturday, followed by a northward to north-northeastward motion through the rest of the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Jerry will continue passing to the north of the Leeward Islands this morning, then move away from the islands later today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected today, but slow strengthening is possible over the weekend.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) mainly to the east of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Tropical Storm Jerry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions, mainly in gusts, are expected in the warning area and are possible in the watch area this morning.
RAINFALL: Through today, 4 to 6 inches of rain are expected across the island of Barbuda. Elsewhere across the Leeward and Virgin Islands, 2 to 4 inches of rain are expected. This rainfall brings a risk of flash flooding, especially in urban areas and in steep terrain. For portions of Puerto Rico, moisture associated with Jerry combined with local orographic effects may result in up to 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated amounts of 6 inches possible.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Jerry, please see the National Weather Service storm total rainfall graphic, available at:
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf
SURF: Swells generated by Jerry are affecting the Leeward Islands, Windward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico, and are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. These swells are expected to spread toward the rest of the Greater Antilles today and tonight. Please consult products from your local weather office for more information.
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States, including Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, can be found at:
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents
NEXT ADVISORY
Next intermediate advisory at 8:00 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 11:00 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
$$
Advertise with the mоѕt vіѕіtеd nеwѕ ѕіtе іn Antigua!
We offer fully customizable and flexible digital marketing packages.
Contact us at [email protected]
