Tropical Disturbance AL91 Weakens, Cyclone Formation Chance Drops to 20%

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Disturbance 1: 20% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 Days
As of 2:00 PM EDT Sat Sep 6 2025…
Tropical Atlantic (AL91):

  • A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic is producing a
    small area of shower activity. Environmental conditions are rc only
    marginally conducive for development, and the chances of
  • this
    system becoming a tropical depression continue to diminish.
    The
    wave is expected to move generally westward at 10 to 15
    “mph, and
    will likely be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle part of next
    week. Interests there should monitor its progress.
    -* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
  • Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent.

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