NHC – The National Hurricane Center in Miami has issued an update on the tropical weather outlook for the North Atlantic and Caribbean Sea as of 2:00 AM EDT on Friday, August 18, 2023.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL98): A broad area of low pressure west of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to exhibit signs of organization, with showers and thunderstorms.
Favorable environmental conditions suggest a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend, moving west-northwestward or northwestward at around 10 mph.
Development chances are at 50% within 48 hours and 70% within 7 days.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL99): Over 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, a trough of low pressure is generating disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
While environmental conditions only marginally favor development, a tropical depression could still emerge as it moves west-northwestward at 10-15 mph. Chances stand at 40% within 48 hours and 40% within 7 days.
East-Southeast of the Lesser Antilles: An elongated low-pressure trough could yield another area of low pressure southeast of the Lesser Antilles.
Slow development is plausible over the weekend into early next week, as it tracks west-northwestward across the Lesser Antilles.
Possibility of formation within 48 hours is at 10%, and 20% within 7 days.
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