Forecaster Dale Destin says: Good news gentle people! AL92 (yellow) was at a 70% chance of formation a few days ago but now it is down to 30%.
The area back of it in red is expected to become a tropical depression or storm in 7 days, but it looks like it will steer clear of the islands.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
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An elongated area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slight development during the next
couple of days, but a tropical depression could still form during that time while the system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph over the
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: CLICK HERE TO JOIN OUR WHATS APP GROUP
A trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing a large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms from near the Cabo Verde Islands extending southwestward for several hundred miles.
Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression will likely form during the latter part of this week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…80 percent.
Forecaster Gallina/Blake
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30% chance is still wayyyyy better than the chance of UPP re-integrating. Everbody a run way leff de Man Cow Lipstick Hag