Tropical Cyclone Information Statement
Antigua And Barbuda Meteorological Service
10:00 Am Ect Saturday August 10 2024
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…Tropical Cyclone Could Affect The Area…
The Antigua And Barbuda Meteorological Service Continues To Monitor Actively
The Progress Of An Active Tropical Wave, Which Has Become Tropical Disturbance
Al98, Over The Central Tropical North Atlantic.
The System Is Expected To Develop
Further And Could Become A Significant Concern For The Leeward Islands And The
British Virgin Islands Next Week Tuesday.
The Disturbance Is Now Expected To Become A Tropical Depression Or Tropical
Storm In Seven Days Near Or After Passing The Area.
However, Given The Low
Formation Chance In 48 Hours And The Long Distance Away From The Islands, At This
Time, The Threat Level, From Al98 Remains Little For The Leeward Islands And The
British Virgin Islands. The Risk Of Wind, Rainfall Or Seas Is Low, So No Action Is
Required At This Time Other Than Monitoring.
At 8 Am Ect Or 1200 Utc, Tropical Disturbance Al98 Was Located About 1491 Miles
East-Southeast Of The Leeward Islands Moving West At Around 15 Mph.
Maximum Sustained Winds Are Less Than 25 Mph With Higher Gusts. Strengthening
Is Forecast And A Tropical Depression Or Tropical Storm Could Form In Seven Days.
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Formation Could Take Place Near The Northeast Caribbean. There Is A 30 Percent
Chance Of Formation In 48 Hours And An 80 Percent Chance Of Formation In Seven
Days.
No Particular Hazard Is Being Forecast At This Time As The System Is Still Very Far
Away With Lots Of Room For A Number Of Scenarios To Play Out.
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Also, The
Uncertainties Are Quite High For What Will Happen. Please Note That No Alerts,
Watches Or Warnings Are In Effect For The Area; However, This Could Change In 48
Hours, A Tropical Cyclone Alert Is Possible.
Residents Should Continue To Monitor This System Closely And Ensure Their
Hurricane Season Plans Are Prepared.
The Next Update Will Be Around 8 Pm Tonight, Or Sooner If Required.
Forecaster Dale Destin
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