Dear Editor,
Having named all their candidates, I think this is a good time to begin discussing the viability of the United Progressive Party in the next general election. Note that only one candidate is yet to be announced for the ABLP in St. Mary’s North.
Here’s my take: the UPP will lose at least three seats it currently holds. Bowen is gone thanks to Kiz Johnson, Richard Lewis is gone thanks to Michael Joseph, and Dalso/Watts are gone thanks to Michael Freeland. Simon will hold on to St. Mary’s South, and Pringle will retain All Saints East and St. Luke. Trevor Walker will retain Barbuda.
I cannot say who will win All Saints West, with Harold now in the race against incumbent Anthony Smith. I see the ABLP retaining most, if not all, of its seats, although Jonathan Joseph will give Sir Molwyn’s replacement a run for his or her money.
None of the UPP newcomers or repeat candidates will be successful. I expect the ABLP to retain St. Paul, where they faced a strong challenge from Cleon in the last election, and if Lovell couldn’t win City East, neither can Pearl.
My analysis is far from professional, but that’s how I see it, and I wonder who else sees it that way. There are two factors that may throw off my list: first, whether Gaston can fix the water problem sufficiently and on time, and second, whether the UPP will have a new—and dare I say better—leader by the next general election.
Let’s not forget the UPP came very, very close to victory in the last election, but a lot has changed since then. A lot.
Kitchen Cabinet
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As @Kitchen cabinet bemoans:
“Let’s not forget the UPP came very, very close to victory in the last election, but a lot has changed since then. A lot”
It sure has Kitch. Let’s look at the disastrous ABLP shall we?:
1)The Nigerian airline; 2) a distinct lack of transparency in financial matters; 3) the vehicle acquisitions procurement scandal; 4) the ongoing promises to repair the arterial road in All Saints; 5) the lack of follow-up information on the homicides of a young lady and a child (that’s still to be resolved); 6) the delayed court case of the murder of a prominent politician; 7) ignoring Richard Lewis’s FOI rewuest; 8) the ongoing price gouging that hasn’t been addressed; 9) the Africans that came to Antigua and have mysteriously disappeared into thin air; 10) power cuts and water shortages still ongoing to this day.
Wow Kitch, that’s a lot for the ABLP to contend with don’t you think?
And yet you concerning yourself with the said Honourable gentlemen of the UPP? Huh!!!
I’d better stop there, because I don’t want to steal your thunder and destroy your “out of touch” narrative on the opposition who hasn’t been in charge for well over a decade now.
You guys really hate the democratic process.
Kitchen Cabinet, you have the right to your opinion. The last election Gaston himself admitted they transferred voters from strong constituencies into weaker ones to sure them up which helped them to win by a few votes. Just remember the election was free but fair at all, have you considered that. Gaston will never have a fair election. Also the scampish business people will support a scamp
It is my opinion Dalso will lose, he is uninspiring, big, big error