Disturbance 2: 20% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 Days
As of 2:00 PM EDT Sun Sep 21 2025…
East of the Windward Islands:
Another tropical wave located more than 500 miles to the east of the Windward Islands is currently is producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms as it moves quickly westward.
Earlier satellite-derived wind data indicated the wave does not have a closed circulation.
Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for further development over the next several days as the wave continues to move quickly westward to west-northwestward at around 20 mph.
By the latter part of this week, the system is expected to slow down and turn more northwestward to & the north of Hispaniola.
Regardless of development, the system is (expected to bring gusty winds and showers for portions of the Leeward Islands on Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low… 10 percent.
I * Formation chance through 7 days…low…20
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