Disturbance Now At 60% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 Days

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Disturbance 1: 60% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 Days

As of 2:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025…

Tropical Atlantic:

A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing limited disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form toward the end of the week.

This system should move westward to west-northwestward at about 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic and approach the vicinity of the Leeward Islands on Friday.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low… 10 percent.
  • Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent.

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