Disturbance 1: 70% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 Days

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Disturbance 1: 70% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 Days

As of 8:00 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025…

Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:

A tropical wave over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing a

large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Although dry

and stable air is expected to limit development during the next

couple of days, gradual development is anticipated thereafter, and a

tropical depression is likely to form during the middle to latter part of this week as the system moves west-northwestward

at 10 to 15

mph over the central tropical Atlantic.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low… 10 percent.
  • Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.

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