Disturbance 1: 70% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 Days

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A tropical wave over the eastern tropical Atlantic is likely to become a tropical depression later this week or this weekend while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

Disturbance 1: 70% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 Days

As of 8:00 AM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025…

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic south of the Cabo Verde islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week or this weekend. This system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic through the weekend.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
  • Formation chance through 7 days… high…70 percent.

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