Atlantic Remains Quiet as Hurricane Season Begins Slowly Despite Active Forecast
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) on Tuesday morning reported no signs of tropical storm development in the Atlantic basin over the next week.
In its 8:00 AM EDT update covering the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico, the NHC indicated that conditions remain calm, with no disturbances expected to organize into tropical systems in the near term.
So far, the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season has been relatively quiet, despite forecasts calling for heightened activity. Three named storms—Andrea, Barry, and Chantal—have formed since the season began, but none have reached hurricane strength. Andrea and Barry, which developed in late June, each dissipated within a day. The most recent, Tropical Storm Chantal, emerged on July 5.
Still, meteorologists caution that more active weather may be ahead. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts a 60% chance of an above-average season, with only a 30% chance of near-normal activity and 10% chance of below-normal conditions.
Colorado State University’s seasonal forecast calls for 17 named storms, including nine hurricanes—four of which could become major hurricanes.
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Every year they predict above-normal activity and then it’s crickets. Feels like a guessing game sometimes.
Just because it’s quiet now doesn’t mean we’re in the clear. Everyone should still have their hurricane kits ready.
Hopefully it remains that quiet
True, it’s always above normal. Doesn’t mean they don’t have reason to, but we should give God thanks for sparing us another year.
It’s always a relief when the hurricane season starts off quietly, especially in the Caribbean! We’ll take these calm days while they last.