Atlantic Hurricane Season Still Projected to Be Above Normal

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Hurricane

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Antigua and Barbuda climatologist Dale Destin is predicting an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season for 2025, with the potential to rank among the top 10% of the most active seasons since 1991.

The latest forecast, based on data up to 20 July and including tropical storms Andrea, Barry and Chantal, shows a 77% chance of an above-normal season, with a 43% likelihood it could be super-hyperactive—a classification for the most intense hurricane seasons on record.

Destin projects 16 to 27 named storms, 6 to 13 hurricanes, and 3 to 7 major hurricanes, with Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) ranging from 104 to 271—well above the 1991–2020 average.

He is expected to issue a final update in mid-August. The forecast highlights peak activity from August to October, though uncertainty remains due to evolving El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) patterns and Atlantic sea surface temperatures.

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