Antigua has upgraded the Tropical Storm Watch to a Tropical Storm Warning

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The government of Antigua has upgraded the Tropical Storm Watch to a Tropical Storm Warning for Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St.

Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla.

The government of the Netherlands has upgraded the Tropical Storm Watch to a Tropical Storm Warning for Saba and St. Eustatius.

The government of France has upgraded the Tropical Storm Watch to a Tropical Storm Warning for Guadeloupe, St. Martin, and St.

Barthelemy.

The government of Sint Maarten has upgraded the Tropical Storm Watch to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sint Maarten.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: CLICK HERE TO JOIN OUR WHATS APP GROUP

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…

* St. Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua, Barbuda, and Anguilla

* Guadeloupe

* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy

* Sint Maarten

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…

* British Virgin Islands

* U.S. Virgin Islands

* Puerto Rico

* Vieques

* Culebra

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

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Interests in elsewhere in the northeastern Caribbean should monitor the progress of Potential Tropical Cyclone Five. Additional watches

or warnings could be required later today.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor

products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

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For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national

meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

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At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude

14.6 North, longitude 54.3 West. The system is moving toward the

west near 26 mph (43 km/h), and a westward to west-northwestward

motion is expected with some decrease in forward speed during the

next couple of days. On the forecast track, the disturbance is

expected to move across portions of the Leeward Islands late

tonight or Tuesday and approach the U.S. and British Virgin Islands

and Puerto Rico Tuesday evening.

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Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.

Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and

the disturbance is expected to become a tropical depression later

today or tonight and become a tropical storm as it nears the Leeward

Islands.

* Formation chance through 48 hours… high…90 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

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Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Five can be found in

the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO

header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at

hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

RAINFALL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Five is expected to produce

total rain accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over portions of the

Leeward Islands. For Puerto Rico, 3 to 6 inches of rainfall, with

maximum amounts of 10 inches, is expected.

Elsewhere in the Caribbean, Potential Tropical Cyclone Five is

expected to produce the following rain accumulations through Friday

morning:

Windward Islands…1 to 4 inches

Eastern Hispaniola…2 to 4 inches

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with

Potential Tropical Cyclone Five, please see the National Weather

Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area

beginning late tonight or Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are

possible within the watch area beginning on Tuesday.

STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1

to 3 feet above ground level for the eastern coast of Puerto Rico

from San Juan to Guayama, including the islands of Culebra and

Vieques and in the U.S. Virgin Islands, including St. Thomas, St.

John, and St. Croix.

A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet

above normal tide levels in the British Virgin Islands. Near the

coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

SURF:  Swells generated by the system will likely begin to affect

portions of the Leeward Islands beginning tonight. These swells are

likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Please consult products from your local weather office.

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6 COMMENTS

  1. Please let’s come together, and pray for Jesus Christ protection in every areas in our nation…

  2. Be safe all countrymen and women and take all the necessary precautions.
    On a slightly different subject, Covid is once again on the rise throughout the region. Here in Jamaica, we are seeing an increase in hospitalization in the last 2 weeks. Please observe all the necessary protocols and keep your immune system boosted.

  3. Please take all necessary precautions. May God’s mercy and protection be upon all the islands in the path of Ernesto.

  4. Please take all necessary precautions. May God’s mercy and protection be upon all the islands in the path of the storm.

  5. One Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigated the storm this morning and another will fly into it early this afternoon. It’s moving quickly to the west so 4-6 inches of rain over a short period of time could cause some problems.

Comments are closed.