{"id":249494,"date":"2025-09-11T07:36:19","date_gmt":"2025-09-11T11:36:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/?p=249494"},"modified":"2025-09-11T07:36:20","modified_gmt":"2025-09-11T11:36:20","slug":"accuweather-reduces-forecast-of-named-storms-and-hurricanes-due-to-mid-season-lull","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/accuweather-reduces-forecast-of-named-storms-and-hurricanes-due-to-mid-season-lull\/","title":{"rendered":"AccuWeather reduces forecast of named storms and hurricanes due to mid-season lull"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/a><\/div>
\"\"<\/a><\/div>\n

\u00a0<\/strong>Following an\u00a0unusually quiet stretch<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0across the Atlantic basin during the climatological peak period of tropical activity, AccuWeather\u00ae hurricane experts are slightly reducing the forecast for the highest potential number of named storms and hurricanes expected to develop this season.<\/p>

\"\"<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n
\"Updated<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

AccuWeather\u00ae now forecasts 13-16 named storms and six to nine hurricanes for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. This is the first update to the AccuWeather\u00ae 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast<\/a><\/strong>, which was first issued in March.  


\u201cAccuWeather hurricane experts are constantly refining and integrating new data into our predictions,\u201d AccuWeather\u00ae Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva explained. \u201cUnusual surges of dry air, Saharan dust, disruptive wind shear, cooler water temperatures off the western coast of Africa, and other atmospheric conditions have hampered multiple tropical waves from developing into tropical storms or hurricanes, during what are typically the peak weeks of tropical activity in the Atlantic basin.\u201d


The forecast for three to five major hurricanes and three to six direct impacts to the United States has not changed.


\u201cThe range of named storms expected to develop in the Atlantic basin this season has been reduced, but the risk of direct impacts has not changed. AccuWeather\u00ae continues to forecast three to six direct impacts to the United States this season,\u201d DaSilva said. \u201cIt only takes one storm to create a devastating hurricane season.\u201d


There have been two direct impacts to the U.S. so far this year. Tropical Storm Chantal caused an estimated $4 billion to $6 billion in total damage and economic loss<\/strong><\/a>, following damaging flooding and tourism losses in North Carolina over the Independence Day holiday weekend. Hurricane Erin brought rough surf, beach erosion and deadly rip currents to the U.S. East Coast in August.


AccuWeather\u00ae hurricane experts are urging people, businesses and officials near the coast and in inland areas that have been affected by hurricanes and tropical storms in recent years to remain prepared and vigilant.


\u201cPlease do not let your guard down or become complacent. The tropics have been unusually quiet during the typical peak weeks of the season, just like they were last year,\u201d DaSilva said. \u201cIt is important to remember that Helene and Milton both developed well after the climatological peak of the season last year. Helene caused catastrophic inland flooding. Milton spun up dozens of destructive tornadoes across Florida. Helene and Milton claimed more than 250 lives and caused an estimated $385 billion to $430 billion in total damage and economic loss, according to estimates from AccuWeather.\u201d


DaSilva said the exceptionally high water temperatures in the Gulf<\/strong><\/a> have increased the concerns for potential rapid intensification in the coming weeks.


\u201cThe heat and energy stored in the Gulf reached record territory this week. The waters are dangerously warm. This surplus of energy in the Gulf can act like rocket fuel,\u201d DaSilva explained. \u201cIf a storm spins up or moves into the Gulf, and atmospheric conditions are conducive for development, these warm waters can support rapid intensification, and even cases of extreme rapid intensification. When a storm, like Hurricane Erin, strengthens with maximum sustained winds increasing 58 mph or more within 24 hours, it meets the threshold of extreme rapid intensification.\u201d 

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n