{"id":249286,"date":"2025-09-09T12:52:10","date_gmt":"2025-09-09T16:52:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/?p=249286"},"modified":"2025-09-09T13:35:03","modified_gmt":"2025-09-09T17:35:03","slug":"tropical-activity-forecast-to-increase-after-unusually-quiet-peak-of-hurricane-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/tropical-activity-forecast-to-increase-after-unusually-quiet-peak-of-hurricane-season\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00a0Tropical activity forecast to increase after unusually quiet peak of hurricane season"},"content":{"rendered":"
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 <\/strong>Following an exceptionally quiet stretch<\/strong><\/a> during the typical peak weeks of the Atlantic hurricane season, AccuWeather hurricane experts are urging people, businesses and officials to remain prepared for an expected increase in tropical activity later this month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n


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Download the latest AccuWeather\u00ae forecast graphics<\/strong><\/em><\/a> <\/p>

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\u201cThe climatological peak of hurricane season is Sept. 10. This is the time of year when water temperatures in the Atlantic typically peak, and atmospheric conditions are most conducive for tropical development. The frequency of storms in the Atlantic basin is highest on average on Sept. 10, according to historical data,\u201d AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said. \u201cThis will likely be the first time in nearly a decade that the peak of hurricane season passes without a named storm. This rare occurrence has only happened three times in the last 30 years.\u201d 


This hurricane season also marks the first time in more than 30 years of back-to-back years without a named storm in the Atlantic basin on Labor Day.  


A surge of dry air has limited tropical development in the main development region of the Atlantic this week.  <\/p>

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Download the latest AccuWeather\u00ae forecast graphics<\/strong><\/em><\/a> <\/p>\n\n\n\n


\u201cIt is unusual for the tropics to be this quiet, but not unexpected. AccuWeather predicted in March, when we issued our hurricane season forecast, that surges of dry air could lead to a midseason lull,\u201d DaSilva explained. \u201cWe have been forecasting the second half of the season to be more active than the first.\u201d 


AccuWeather hurricane experts say less dry air, less Saharan dust, and less disruptive wind shear<\/strong><\/a> is forecast in the Atlantic starting next week.  


Sea surface temperatures and ocean heat content in the Gulf have surged to record territory for this time of year. Ocean heat content is a measurement of the depth of warm ocean waters. 


\u201cThis exceptional warmth in the Gulf is troubling,\u201d DaSilva said. \u201cThe ocean heat content in the Gulf has soared to a new record high that has not been reported before at any point in the season, not just the climatological peak.\u201d  
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\u201cThis exceptional warmth in the Gulf is troubling, The warm waters can act as fuel for developing tropical storms and strengthening hurricanes,\u201d DaSilva explained. \u201cAtmospheric conditions are forecast to be conducive for tropical development in late September. We are concerned about the risk of rapid intensification if a storm forms or moves into the very warm waters of the Gulf later this month. Conditions are primed for explosive, rapid intensification.\u201d


AccuWeather 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast<\/strong> <\/p>

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– <\/strong>13 to 18 named storms <\/p>

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–<\/strong> 7 to 10 hurricanes <\/p>\n\n\n\n

–<\/strong> 3 to 5 major hurricanes <\/p>\n\n\n\n

–<\/strong> 3 to 6 direct U.S. impacts <\/p>\n\n\n\n

–<\/strong> The second half of the season is expected to have more tropical activity than the first <\/p>\n\n\n\n

–<\/strong> Increased risk of tornadoes and flooding from tropical storms and hurricanes reaching farther inland this year <\/p>\n\n\n\n

–<\/strong> Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, the Florida Gulf Coast, North Carolina, Atlantic Canada, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands face a higher-than-average risk of a direct impact this year  
 

Additional AccuWeather\u00ae Resources:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Atlantic unusually quiet at hurricane season\u2019s peak, but warm waters to fuel storms soon<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

What is wind shear and how does it impact hurricanes, other tropical cyclones?<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Flooding concerns grow in Florida as thunderstorms repeat<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kiko to pass north of Hawaii, still bringing rain and heavy surf to Islands <\/strong><\/a> 



What is La Nina?<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Survey reveals which natural disasters scare Americans the most<\/strong><\/a>



Rip currents account for over 80% of beach rescues, but what are they and how can you stay safe?\u00a0<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0



Flooding and tornado impacts could reach far inland again this Atlantic hurricane season\u00a0<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0



AccuWeather\u00ae forecasting 3-6 direct storm impacts to the U.S. during the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane season<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0



AccuWeather RealImpact\u2122 Scale for Hurricanes<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0 \u00a0



AccuWeather\u00ae Hurricane Tracker<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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CLICK HERE TO JOIN OUR WHAT\u2019S APP GROUP  Following an exceptionally quiet stretch during the typical peak weeks of the Atlantic hurricane season, AccuWeather hurricane experts are urging people, businesses and officials to remain prepared for an expected increase in tropical activity later this month. Download the latest AccuWeather\u00ae forecast graphics  \u201cThe climatological peak of hurricane season […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":249287,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-249286","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\n\u00a0Tropical activity forecast to increase after unusually quiet peak of hurricane season - Antigua News Room<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/tropical-activity-forecast-to-increase-after-unusually-quiet-peak-of-hurricane-season\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00a0Tropical activity forecast to increase after unusually quiet peak of hurricane season\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"CLICK HERE TO JOIN OUR WHAT\u2019S APP GROUP  Following an exceptionally quiet stretch during the typical peak weeks of the Atlantic hurricane season, AccuWeather hurricane experts are urging people, businesses and officials to remain prepared for an expected increase in tropical activity later this month. 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