{"id":246626,"date":"2025-08-15T16:47:52","date_gmt":"2025-08-15T20:47:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/?p=246626"},"modified":"2025-08-15T17:00:21","modified_gmt":"2025-08-15T21:00:21","slug":"hurricane-erin-expected-to-strengthen-rapidly-as-it-approaches-the-northern-leeward-islands","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/hurricane-erin-expected-to-strengthen-rapidly-as-it-approaches-the-northern-leeward-islands\/","title":{"rendered":"Hurricane Erin Expected to Strengthen Rapidly as it Approaches the Northern Leeward Islands"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Erin Moving West-Northwestward and Forecast to Rapidly Strengthen. Expected to Pass Near Or North of the Leeward Islands On Saturday<\/strong><\/p>

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Hurricane Erin is expected to intensify rapidly as it moves west-northwest across the Atlantic, with forecasters warning it could reach major hurricane strength over the weekend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At 17:00 AST (21:00 UTC) on Friday, the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) said Erin was located about 365 miles (585 km) east of the northern Leeward Islands, with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph (120 km\/h). The storm is moving at 17 mph (28 km\/h).<\/p>

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On its current track, the hurricane\u2019s centre is forecast to pass near or just north of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico between Saturday and Sunday.<\/p>

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A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Anguilla, Barbuda, St Martin, St Barthelemy, Saba, St Eustatius and Sint Maarten. Tropical storm conditions could reach these areas by early Saturday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The NHC says outer rain bands could bring 2\u20134 inches (5\u201310 cm) of rain to the northern Leewards, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, with isolated areas receiving up to 6 inches (15 cm). This raises the risk of flash flooding, landslides and mudslides.<\/p>

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Swells generated by Erin are expected to create hazardous surf and life-threatening rip currents in the region from Saturday, spreading across the western Atlantic next week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft are scheduled to investigate the storm later on Friday. Forecasters say steady to rapid strengthening is expected in the coming days.<\/p>

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SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:<\/p>

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A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

* Anguilla and Barbuda<\/p>\n\n\n\n

* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy<\/p>\n\n\n\n

* Saba and St. Eustatius<\/p>\n\n\n\n

* Sint Maarten<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are<\/p>\n\n\n\n

possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

and Puerto Rico, as well as in the Turks and Caicos and the<\/p>\n\n\n\n

southeastern Bahamas should monitor the progress of Erin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor<\/p>\n\n\n\n

products issued by your national meteorological service.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK<\/p>\n\n\n\n

———————-<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Erin was located<\/p>\n\n\n\n

near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 57.6 West. Erin is moving toward<\/p>\n\n\n\n

the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km\/h). This motion is expected<\/p>\n\n\n\n

to continue through the weekend with some decrease in forward<\/p>\n\n\n\n

speed. On the forecast track, the center of Erin is likely to move<\/p>\n\n\n\n

just north of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Puerto Rico over the weekend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km\/h) with higher<\/p>\n\n\n\n

gusts.  Steady to rapid strengthening is expected during the next<\/p>\n\n\n\n

two to three days, and Erin is forecast to become a major hurricane<\/p>\n\n\n\n

during the weekend. NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter<\/p>\n\n\n\n

aircraft are scheduled to investigate Erin this evening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the<\/p>\n\n\n\n

center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(185 km) mainly to the north of the center.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND<\/p>\n\n\n\n

———————-<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key messages for Erin can be found in the Tropical Cyclone<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

RAINFALL: The outer bands of Erin are expected to produce areas of<\/p>\n\n\n\n

heavy rainfall tonight into Sunday across the northern Leeward<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Rainfall totals of 2<\/p>\n\n\n\n

to 4 inches, with isolated totals of 6 inches, are expected. This<\/p>\n\n\n\n

rainfall may lead to isolated and locally considerable flash and<\/p>\n\n\n\n

urban flooding, along with landslides or mudslides.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding<\/p>\n\n\n\n

associated with Erin, please see the National Weather Service Storm<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Total Rainfall Graphic, available at<\/p>\n\n\n\n

hurricanes.gov\/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf<\/p>\n\n\n\n

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch<\/p>\n\n\n\n

area by early Saturday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

SURF:  Swells generated by Erin will begin affecting portions of the<\/p>\n\n\n\n

northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by this<\/p>\n\n\n\n

weekend, and will likely spread to the western Atlantic next week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip<\/p>\n\n\n\n

current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather<\/p>\n\n\n\n

forecast office.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found<\/p>\n\n\n\n

at: hurricanes.gov\/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NEXT ADVISORY<\/p>\n\n\n\n

————-<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

$$<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forecaster Beven<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Erin Moving West-Northwestward and Forecast to Rapidly Strengthen. Expected to Pass Near Or North of the Leeward Islands On Saturday Hurricane Erin is expected to intensify rapidly as it moves west-northwest across the Atlantic, with forecasters warning it could reach major hurricane strength over the weekend. At 17:00 AST (21:00 UTC) on Friday, the US […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":246628,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-246626","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nHurricane Erin Expected to Strengthen Rapidly as it Approaches the Northern Leeward Islands - Antigua News Room<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/hurricane-erin-expected-to-strengthen-rapidly-as-it-approaches-the-northern-leeward-islands\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Hurricane Erin Expected to Strengthen Rapidly as it Approaches the Northern Leeward Islands\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Erin Moving West-Northwestward and Forecast to Rapidly Strengthen. Expected to Pass Near Or North of the Leeward Islands On Saturday Hurricane Erin is expected to intensify rapidly as it moves west-northwest across the Atlantic, with forecasters warning it could reach major hurricane strength over the weekend. 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