{"id":233036,"date":"2025-04-15T06:35:34","date_gmt":"2025-04-15T10:35:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/?p=233036"},"modified":"2025-04-15T08:59:22","modified_gmt":"2025-04-15T12:59:22","slug":"robinson-us-risks-destabilising-dollar-as-worlds-reserve-currency","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/robinson-us-risks-destabilising-dollar-as-worlds-reserve-currency\/","title":{"rendered":"Robinson: US Risks Destabilising Dollar as World\u2019s Reserve Currency"},"content":{"rendered":"
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From Reserve Currency to Risk Factor? Robinson Questions America\u2019s Willingness to Undermine the Dollar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Professor Justin Robinson, Principal of the University of the West Indies Five Islands Campus, has raised concerns that the United States may be jeopardising one of its greatest economic advantages\u2014the global dominance of the US <\/a><\/strong>dollar\u2014in pursuit of short-term trade and fiscal gains.<\/p>

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Delivering the keynote address at the opening of the 26th Annual SALISES Conference, Robinson unpacked what he described as a radical shift in US economic strategy aimed at resetting the global trading system.<\/p>

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The strategy, rooted in a policy framework authored by economist Steven Miran, now chair of the US <\/a><\/strong>Council of Economic Advisers, outlines aggressive trade tools and debt restructuring measures designed to restore American manufacturing and competitiveness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But Robinson warned that the approach, which includes pushing foreign holders of US debt to convert short-term Treasury bills into ultra-long-term or even perpetual bonds, risks eroding investor confidence in the dollar and destabilising global capital flows.<\/p>

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\u201cIf foreign central banks are asked to swap their short-term holdings for instruments that may never mature, what message does that send?\u201d he asked. \u201cIn most financial circles, that\u2019s a technical default.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The US dollar has long been viewed as the world’s safe haven asset\u2014critical to global trade, investment, and monetary stability. However, Robinson argued that tampering with that status through unconventional fiscal manoeuvres could prompt capital flight, raise borrowing costs, and encourage rival currencies to gain ground.<\/p>

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\u201cRemoving the dollar\u2019s reserve status would not only weaken America\u2019s global financial clout\u2014it could upend the architecture of international finance,\u201d he said.<\/p>

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Robinson cited signs that markets are already reacting. While tariffs were introduced to draw nations to the negotiating table, bond markets have responded with rising yields\u2014indicating a loss of confidence in US debt instruments. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

More worryingly, he said, foreign participation in recent US Treasury auctions has declined, raising red flags about rollover risk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe bond market is pushing back,\u201d Robinson noted. \u201cAnd if you lose the bond market, you lose your ability to finance government sustainably.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For small island states like those in the Caribbean, the consequences could be significant. Robinson said that a weakened dollar could lead to imported inflation, strain on foreign exchange reserves, and increased costs for debt servicing\u2014particularly in countries holding dollar-denominated debt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He concluded that while the US possesses enormous leverage\u2014both economic and military\u2014the policy path being pursued is a \u201chigh-stakes gamble\u201d requiring perfect coordination and unlikely political buy-in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cDestabilising the very system that underpins your global leadership is a paradox,\u201d he said. \u201cAnd paradoxes make poor economic policy.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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CLICK HERE TO JOIN OUR WHAT\u2019S APP GROUP From Reserve Currency to Risk Factor? Robinson Questions America\u2019s Willingness to Undermine the Dollar Professor Justin Robinson, Principal of the University of the West Indies Five Islands Campus, has raised concerns that the United States may be jeopardising one of its greatest economic advantages\u2014the global dominance of […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":208763,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-233036","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nUS Economic Strategy: A Shift in Global Power - Antigua News Room<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore how the US dollar may be at risk as America shifts its economic strategy for trade and manufacturing.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" 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