{"id":188961,"date":"2023-10-25T18:35:17","date_gmt":"2023-10-25T22:35:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/?p=188961"},"modified":"2023-10-25T18:35:17","modified_gmt":"2023-10-25T22:35:17","slug":"letter-my-social-and-behavioral-scientific-prediction-about-who-will-win-st-marys-south-by-election-was-tremendously-accurate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/letter-my-social-and-behavioral-scientific-prediction-about-who-will-win-st-marys-south-by-election-was-tremendously-accurate\/","title":{"rendered":"LETTER: My Social and behavioral Scientific prediction about who will win St. Mary&#8217;s South By-election was tremendously accurate"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"antig-1323983361\" class=\"antig-ecab antig-entity-placement\"><a href=\"https:\/\/discoverflow.co\/web\/antigua\" aria-label=\"ANU CVP Digital Broadband 1200x400_1\"><img src=\"https:\/\/mlavawteztbj.i.optimole.com\/w:1201\/h:401\/q:mauto\/f:best\/https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ANU-CVP-Digital-Broadband-1200x400_1-1.jpg\" alt=\"\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/mlavawteztbj.i.optimole.com\/w:1201\/h:401\/q:mauto\/f:best\/https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ANU-CVP-Digital-Broadband-1200x400_1-1.jpg 1201w, https:\/\/mlavawteztbj.i.optimole.com\/w:300\/h:100\/q:mauto\/f:best\/https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ANU-CVP-Digital-Broadband-1200x400_1-1.jpg 300w, https:\/\/mlavawteztbj.i.optimole.com\/w:1024\/h:342\/q:mauto\/f:best\/https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ANU-CVP-Digital-Broadband-1200x400_1-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/mlavawteztbj.i.optimole.com\/w:768\/h:256\/q:mauto\/f:best\/https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ANU-CVP-Digital-Broadband-1200x400_1-1.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 696px) 100vw, 696px\" width=\"1201\" height=\"401\"   \/><\/a><\/div><div id=\"antig-455959959\" class=\"antig-before-content antig-entity-placement\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/medicalbenefitsscheme\" aria-label=\"PHOTO-2026-04-07-10-45-56\"><img src=\"https:\/\/mlavawteztbj.i.optimole.com\/w:1200\/h:400\/q:mauto\/f:best\/https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/PHOTO-2026-04-07-10-45-56.jpg\" alt=\"\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/mlavawteztbj.i.optimole.com\/w:1200\/h:400\/q:mauto\/f:best\/https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/PHOTO-2026-04-07-10-45-56.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/mlavawteztbj.i.optimole.com\/w:300\/h:100\/q:mauto\/f:best\/https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/PHOTO-2026-04-07-10-45-56.jpg 300w, https:\/\/mlavawteztbj.i.optimole.com\/w:1024\/h:341\/q:mauto\/f:best\/https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/PHOTO-2026-04-07-10-45-56.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/mlavawteztbj.i.optimole.com\/w:768\/h:256\/q:mauto\/f:best\/https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/PHOTO-2026-04-07-10-45-56.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 696px) 100vw, 696px\" width=\"1200\" height=\"400\"   \/><\/a><\/div><div><a href=\"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/letter-my-social-and-behavioral-scientific-prediction-about-who-will-win-st-marys-south-by-election\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/letter-my-social-and-behavioral-scientific-prediction-about-who-will-win-st-marys-south-by-election\/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1698332391079000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2JIPMpheyMbtq09ocAJEbP\">https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/<wbr \/>letter-my-social-and-<wbr \/>behavioral-scientific-<wbr \/>prediction-about-who-will-win-<wbr \/>st-marys-south-by-election\/<\/a><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">It is tremendously sad no bloggers have acknowledged my skills in accurately predicting who will win and even mentioned that a reduction of 35 votes from the 199 win of Mr. Simon is what is likely to occur based on the last report I saw last night in the counting of votes. it was exactly about that.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">When you folks see an expert, who makes his living doing a particular type of work, give him or her the benefit of the doubt that he or she is great at his job, especially when he or she makes millions doing it, analyzing human behavior, emotions, applying the law, and use that in jury selection, developing legal strategies, crime prediction, crime detection, emotional support for victims of vicious and qualifying crimes, etcetera. Next time, please listen.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">I have offered this skilled, that the US government determined to be of exceptional ability, national importance and substantial merit, with my advance degrees to the country of Antigua and Barbuda, and the government as usual ignores anything and everything that is good. I must say this statement applies to both leading political party and you read why below and on my other blogs on this site.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><a href=\"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/my-social-and-behavioral-scientific-prediction-about-who-will-win-st-marys-south-by-election\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/my-social-and-behavioral-scientific-prediction-about-who-will-win-st-marys-south-by-election\/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1698332391079000&amp;usg=AOvVaw15HRV5eFvmGCRH8P2nVa4n\">https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/<wbr \/>my-social-and-behavioral-<wbr \/>scientific-prediction-about-<wbr \/>who-will-win-st-marys-south-<wbr \/>by-election\/<\/a><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">The analysis was based on many years of data collection, analysis, research, and understanding of Antiguans, Bolans Villagers and even the Antigua Police Force.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">I wonder if various police officers in 2006 and 2008 remember getting various calls from some guy in the US asking questions about the police force?<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">It was me in working on research papers for my bachelors in 2006, then again for my masters in 2008, and my topic was the Antigua and Barbuda Royal police Force. Which focused on what was\/is needed to make it a better and a more effective crime fighting and community-oriented police force.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">My result came out before the Canadian mounted police recommendation, it was better and more detailed. Both professors from two different universities gave me A+ and one said, she said, you are going to be famous. You are so good, and this is perfect. This was for my Master&#8217;s.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Antigua did not have to pay these people for something I already did. I sent it to various government officials in Antigua and even the police, they all ignored it. The now Prime Minister Gaston Brown said, &#8220;you will be an advisor to me in national security matters when I become Prime Minister&#8221; he was practically rushing off the phone in about the year 2008, I think. But I really did not believe but I did hope and I really did not contact him for a position, I just wanted my work to be used.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">All I am asking, is allow people with the skills for the position to help Antigua and Barbuda, stop saying you cannot do anything pertaining to putting these kinds of qualified people in the positions they clearly qualify for, especially those things that has national importance and substantial benefit to the country and the people of Antigua and Barbuda.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Anyway, back to my article on the prediction.\u00a0And I am speaking strictly scientifically. Not politically. It is near impossible to change the minds of people within a short period of time without some unique, substantial, and specifically tailored stimuli based on how the specific people think.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">There is literally nothing Mr. George and the Prime Minister did that would have changed a substantial amount of the previous 199 votes Mr. Simon won by, without first specifically analyzing the mentality of those people, to know what exactly what kind of stimuli was needed for the voters to do the opposite of what is natural and human to them. It was not natural to Bolans people to change position after just about 10 months. They usually must get &#8220;sick and tired&#8221; first to change their position on who they are voting for.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Mr. Simon did not spend enough time to cause this kind of feelings yet. So, there needed to be artificial creation of this feeling and other feelings tailored to cause the voters to do what would have been mentally and emotionally unnatural to them, which is to vote against someone they recently vote for without that person getting to the stage of their &#8220;sick and tired&#8221; feeling.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">But ABLP could have done better in attempting to induce such feelings of &#8220;sick and tired&#8221; early but they did not consult the best behavioral and social scientists out there to understand what stimuli are most effecting to cause this within the St. Mary&#8217;s South constituency, especially in Bolans Village. How soon the stimuli most be introduced what it or they should be. You have to speak to the experts first. The sane folks who could precisely predict the results, means he knows what wrench thrown in, could likely results in substantial impact\/change.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">This was where experts in behavior was needed. They did not listen or seek help from experts, like me, as always. They never do.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">I had the science to allow ABLP to win, but you people never listen to experts. There are almost no experts in Antigua is positions they are needed. That is not how jobs are positions are mostly given in Antigua, sadly.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Do you know I would have helped, only to show my behavioral science and analysis works. Just like it worked to easily and precisely predict the winner and practically nearly the exact number of votes.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">I knew what factors are important and what had no effect on voters&#8217; behavior. It is why they were ignored.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Science matters. Dudes like me spend crazy amounts of money studying human behavior and, specifically researched Antiguan, Bolans residents&#8217; and the Antigua Police force for numerous research papers.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">My prediction will be the most accurate, I told you who will win, and you doubt my science. Nobody ever wins betting against me and science. Definitely not anyone in Antigua.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">I was so accurate on things that my classmates use to contact me to help them make decisions, serious decisions. They use to say, &#8220;what is the voice telling you about this&#8230;. you know that voice that makes you accurate on every important decision&#8221; but it was all scientific analysis of people and the situation and then I would give my answer.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">I actually use to literally predict how the murders happened and it would literally be exactly so, two weeks after perp is found, and wasn&#8217;t the only manner I would employ my analysis and it would be accurate, it would include things in their personal life. Jury selection and legal defenses etcetera.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">I am not rejoicing based on who won, as I am not supporting any party, but on the fact my science accurately predicted the behavior of voters in Antigua and even accurately predicted the number tremendously close, and that, is what shows my skill.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Let me see if I will get the respect I deserve, especially from those idiots who do not understand behavioral and social sciences helps in predictions. How can a person not understand that understanding people&#8217;s behavior will help you predict how they will behave? Doesn&#8217;t that make sense to you?<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"antig-695109489\" class=\"antig-in-comments_2 antig-entity-placement\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/@hadeedmotorsltd\" aria-label=\"Hadeed_WEB_Banner_MG-2\"><img src=\"https:\/\/mlavawteztbj.i.optimole.com\/w:1000\/h:250\/q:mauto\/f:best\/https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Hadeed_WEB_Banner_MG-2.png\" alt=\"\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/mlavawteztbj.i.optimole.com\/w:1000\/h:250\/q:mauto\/f:best\/https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Hadeed_WEB_Banner_MG-2.png 1000w, https:\/\/mlavawteztbj.i.optimole.com\/w:300\/h:75\/q:mauto\/f:best\/https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Hadeed_WEB_Banner_MG-2.png 300w, https:\/\/mlavawteztbj.i.optimole.com\/w:768\/h:192\/q:mauto\/f:best\/https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Hadeed_WEB_Banner_MG-2.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 696px) 100vw, 696px\" width=\"1000\" height=\"250\"   \/><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/letter-my-social-and-behavioral-scientific-prediction-about-who-will-win-st-marys-south-by-election\/ It is tremendously sad no bloggers have acknowledged my skills in accurately predicting who will win and even mentioned that a reduction of 35 votes from the 199 win of Mr. Simon is what is likely to occur based on the last report I saw last night in the counting of votes. it was [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":188925,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-188961","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.1 (Yoast SEO v24.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>LETTER: My Social and behavioral Scientific prediction about who will win St. Mary&#039;s South By-election was tremendously accurate - Antigua News Room<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/letter-my-social-and-behavioral-scientific-prediction-about-who-will-win-st-marys-south-by-election-was-tremendously-accurate\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"LETTER: My Social and behavioral Scientific prediction about who will win St. Mary&#039;s South By-election was tremendously accurate\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/letter-my-social-and-behavioral-scientific-prediction-about-who-will-win-st-marys-south-by-election\/ It is tremendously sad no bloggers have acknowledged my skills in 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