{"id":147044,"date":"2022-02-24T14:47:47","date_gmt":"2022-02-24T18:47:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/?p=147044"},"modified":"2022-02-24T14:48:09","modified_gmt":"2022-02-24T18:48:09","slug":"meaningful-opposition-alliance-in-antigua-barbuda-out-of-the-question-for-upcoming-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/meaningful-opposition-alliance-in-antigua-barbuda-out-of-the-question-for-upcoming-elections\/","title":{"rendered":"Meaningful opposition Alliance (in Antigua-Barbuda) out of the question for upcoming Elections"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Could be on the cards for 2026 and beyond<\/strong><\/p>

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By Arvel Grant, Political and current Affairs Analyst<\/p>\n

(Read more of Arvel’s analytical pieces on\u00a0arvelgrant.com<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0arvelgranttoday@facebook.com<\/a>)<\/p>

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Through the 1980s and into the 1990s, opposition parties in Antigua-Barbuda struggled against the election\u2019s machinery of the labour Party.\u00a0Indeed, between1989 and 1994, Mr. Spencer and the then representative from Barbuda, were the lone voices on the opposition benches.\u00a0It took the strength of character and union-honed skills of Mr. spencer to bring the very splintered parts of the opposition parties together into what we now know as the UPP.\u00a0The united opposition (eventually) rested political power from the Alp after almost 30 years, culminating with the Baldwin Spencer led administration taking office in\u00a0 2004; Bearly hanging on for a second term, losing to the labour party in 2014.<\/p>

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Given the dominant electoral performance, \u00a0of the Gaston Browne \u00a0led ABlP since 2014, it may \u00a0require \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0a strong united and sustained opposition \u00a0to \u00a0rest political power from the labour party in the foreseeable future.<\/p>\n

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Since its high-point in 2004, the UPP has been losing popular support at each general elections: \u00a021,892 \u00a0in 2004, 21,239 in \u00a0\u00a02009, 17,868 \u00a0in 2014 and 14,440 in 2018.<\/p>

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To add insult to injury, in 2018, the UPP narrowly held on to a single seat (all Saints East and St Luke\u2019s)\u00a0.\u00a0A constituency \u00a0which the party seized from Ms Jo-Anne Massiah, whom the UPP expelled from its ranks after Team Massiah, \u00a0disputed the conduct of the Party\u2019s leadership elections; Following\u00a0 its 2014 defeat at the hands of the labour party.<\/p>\n

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As the UPP continues to loos popular support at successive General elections, Many believe that thousands of the party\u2019s \u00a0\u00a0supporters, are \u00a0angry with the UPP \u00a0\u00a0because of how badly Massiah and her supporters were treated.<\/p>

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In the meantime, the Government, and the people of Antigua-Barbuda, have been able to achieve better than 62% vaccination rate, against the COVID virus, among the highest in the Caribbean and other developing countries.<\/p>

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This achievement allows the (cautious) \u00a0reopening of the economy, with the prospect of normalization, barring outbreak of a more infectious and deadly strain of the COVID virus, in the foreseeable future.<\/p>\n

As Antigua-Barbuda prepares for general elections, due by 2023, but expected any time now, the opposition parties appear as splintered, as they were during the 1980s and into the 1990s.<\/p>\n

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This writer believes that only a:\u00a0 Carefully crafted, legally binding and well publicized collaboration agreement between the main opposition parties (including the BPM, DNA and UPP, offers any reasonable chance, of restoring meaningful multi-party parliamentary democracy, in Antigua-Barbuda. That then offers\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0the possibility of victory for the opposition forces,\u00a05 or 10 years down the road.<\/p>\n

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It is my considered opinion, that, there is definitely not enough time (to the next general elections) for the parties to: Build trust, agree a framework for negotiations, Negotiate and sell meaningful policy compromises to their supporters; agree leadership structures (with multiple deputy political leaders) Share constituency allocations; Design a joint manifesto, Agree ministerial allocations (in case of victory at the polls) and calibrate campaign messaging.\u00a0Of course, none of that will happen until \u201cthe boss lady sings\u201d<\/p>\n

Furthermore, any meaningful alliance among Antigua-Barbuda\u2019s opposition parties, will need at least 3-5 years to jell.\u00a0Remember that the first UPP administration descended into dramatic and disturbing \u00a0in-fighting at the level of Cabinet\u00a0\u00a0 after only a few months in office, even though the party had more than 10 years to \u201cjell\u201d<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Walk good until next time,<\/p>\n

Arvel Grant, Political and Current Affairs Analyst<\/p>\n

Authorized for publication without changes or modifications- All rights reserved<\/p>\n

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Could be on the cards for 2026 and beyond By Arvel Grant, Political and current Affairs Analyst (Read more of Arvel’s analytical pieces on\u00a0arvelgrant.com\u00a0and\u00a0arvelgranttoday@facebook.com)     Through the 1980s and into the 1990s, opposition parties in Antigua-Barbuda struggled against the election\u2019s machinery of the labour Party.\u00a0Indeed, between1989 and 1994, Mr. Spencer and the then representative […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":146940,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-147044","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nMeaningful opposition Alliance (in Antigua-Barbuda) out of the question for upcoming Elections - Antigua News Room<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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