{"id":146813,"date":"2022-02-19T15:42:55","date_gmt":"2022-02-19T19:42:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/?p=146813"},"modified":"2022-02-19T15:42:55","modified_gmt":"2022-02-19T19:42:55","slug":"imf-predicting-7-growth-for-antigua-and-barbuda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/imf-predicting-7-growth-for-antigua-and-barbuda\/","title":{"rendered":"IMF predicting 7% growth for Antigua and Barbuda"},"content":{"rendered":"
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CMC-The International Monetary Fund (IMF) says the economy in Antigua and Barbuda is \u201crebounding\u201d from the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and is projecting economic growth of seven per cent this year.<\/p>

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Real GDP (gross domestic product) growth is estimated at 4.8 per cent in 2021, following a sharp contraction of 20.2 per cent in 2020,\u201d according to Varapat Chensavasdijai, the Deputy IMF Division Chief, who led a virtual delegation to the island.<\/p>\n

In a statement following the visit, Chensavasdijai said that a sustained recovery in tourism and construction activity is expected to underpin real output growth of seven per cent this year.<\/p>

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\u201cTwo-thirds of the population have been fully vaccinated, which is among the highest rates in the Caribbean. However, a prolonged pandemic, due to the emergence of new virus variants, and supply chain disruptions could put a drag on the recovery at the same time as wage and price pressures build.\u201d<\/p>

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The IMF official said that the Gaston Browne government is determined to meet the targets under its medium-term fiscal strategy to bring public debt-to-GDP to under 70 per cent by 2030.<\/p>\n

\u201cDespite the pandemic, fiscal consolidation resumed in 2021 and the primary deficit narrowed to 1.8 per cent of GDP, from 3.8 percent in 2020, reflecting domestic revenue mobilization, external grants, and the reprioritization of spending.\u201d<\/p>

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Chensavasdijai said the 2022 budget envisages a zero primary balance, with an ambitious capital spending plan financed by higher revenues, grants and borrowing.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe uncertain revenue outlook underscores the need to streamline tax exemptions, strengthen tax compliance, and fully implement tax and customs administration reforms. It will also be important to assess the costs and benefits of the current energy pricing mechanisms given rising international oil prices.<\/p>

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\u201cContaining spending on wages and transfers and improving public financial management will be essential. In addition, the authorities should prioritize clearing arrears to suppliers and creditors while avoiding the accumulation of new arrears.\u201d<\/p>

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Chensavasdijai said that the financial sector is showing signs of recovery. He said banks are well-capitalized and liquid, but credit growth has been slow, particularly to the household sector.<\/p>\n

\u201cLoans under moratoria at banks and credit unions have declined significantly in 2021 and nonperforming loan ratios have remained stable. Nonetheless, supervisors should closely monitor asset quality and ensure that loan loss provisioning is proportional to credit quality risks, especially at credit unions.\u201d<\/p>\n

Chensavasdijai said Antigua and Barbuda is highly susceptible to climate change and natural disasters, and continues to face structural challenges related to the high costs of reconstruction from<\/p>\n

Hurricane Irma and limited access to affordable home insurance against disasters.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe National Adaptation Plan to build climate resilience is expected to be completed by year-end.<\/p>\n

There are ongoing initiatives to make homes and public infrastructure more disaster-resilient, as well as to invest in renewable energy.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe Blue Economy Plan identifies new sustainable sectors and opportunities to diversify the economy; capacity building and financing will be necessary to realize the plan\u2019s objectives,\u201d Chensavasdijai added.<\/p>\n

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CMC-The International Monetary Fund (IMF) says the economy in Antigua and Barbuda is \u201crebounding\u201d from the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and is projecting economic growth of seven per cent this year. Real GDP (gross domestic product) growth is estimated at 4.8 per cent in 2021, following a sharp contraction of 20.2 per cent in 2020,\u201d according […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":103833,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-146813","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nIMF predicting 7% growth for Antigua and Barbuda - Antigua News Room<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/antiguanewsroom.com\/imf-predicting-7-growth-for-antigua-and-barbuda\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IMF predicting 7% growth for Antigua and Barbuda\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"CMC-The International Monetary Fund (IMF) says the economy in Antigua and Barbuda is \u201crebounding\u201d from the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and is projecting economic growth of seven per cent this year. 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